Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.216884 0.246577 0.278397 0.314979 0.355819 0.399955 0.451207
2025-10-26 0.178152 0.218046 0.263606 0.319296 0.385328 0.460911 0.553753
2025-11-02 0.152366 0.198771 0.254745 0.326815 0.416686 0.524559 0.663292
2025-11-09 0.128613 0.177843 0.240239 0.324409 0.434163 0.571506 0.755326
2025-11-16 0.110591 0.161292 0.228514 0.323079 0.451396 0.617984 0.848871
2025-11-23 0.096073 0.147230 0.217937 0.321299 0.466709 0.661838 0.940849
2025-11-30 0.086902 0.139301 0.214494 0.328258 0.493521 0.721852 1.057380
2025-12-07 0.077309 0.129425 0.206963 0.328185 0.509713 0.767489 1.156082
2025-12-14 0.069207 0.120751 0.200104 0.328050 0.525153 0.812257 1.255375
2025-12-21 0.062434 0.113316 0.194233 0.328549 0.541034 0.857962 1.357898
2025-12-28 0.057549 0.108375 0.191680 0.333726 0.563991 0.914953 1.479673
2026-01-04 0.053847 0.104989 0.191219 0.341987 0.591983 0.980703 1.617684
2026-01-11 0.049297 0.099744 0.187398 0.344761 0.611960 1.036179 1.744628
2026-01-18 0.046024 0.096443 0.186563 0.352410 0.640309 1.106304 1.898249
2026-01-25 0.043404 0.094057 0.187072 0.362312 0.672925 1.184883 2.069285
2026-02-01 0.039420 0.088536 0.181352 0.360604 0.685363 1.230884 2.189456
2026-02-08 0.035973 0.083667 0.176340 0.359657 0.698845 1.279034 2.315217
2026-02-15 0.032808 0.078989 0.171215 0.357980 0.710709 1.324774 2.438811
2026-02-22 0.031010 0.077010 0.171151 0.365809 0.740172 1.402078 2.619566
2026-03-01 0.028562 0.073299 0.167252 0.365817 0.755004 1.454313 2.759123
2026-03-08 0.026339 0.069820 0.163483 0.365717 0.769472 1.506397 2.900522
2026-03-15 0.024384 0.066722 0.160207 0.366295 0.785142 1.561211 3.048985
2026-03-22 0.023027 0.064894 0.159480 0.372017 0.811089 1.635895 3.236311